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Abstract
#Football Alchemy RSS Feed Football Alchemy
* Football Betting Bible
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* Who we are
Football Alchemy
Football Alchemy is a coaching site dedicated to improving your results
from football betting.
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Value Bets for Sun 3 April 2011
Apr 3rd, 2011 by footballalchemy
Share
English Premiership
Fulham v Blackpool, DRAW @ 4.8 (+10%)
Scottish Premiership
Hibs v HEARTS @ 2.7 (+16%)
German Bundesliga
FC Koln v Nurnberg, DRAW @ 3.7 (+11%)
Italian Serie A
Napoli v LAZIO @ 6.2 (+17%)
Cesena v FIORENTINA @ 2.6 (+27%)
Parma v BARI @ 10.5 (+47%)
GENOA @ 2.3 v Cagliari (+19%)
LECCE @ 5.4 v Udinese (+29%)
Chievo v Sampdoria, LAY DRAW @ 1.62 (+48%) *** Warning: Suspicious
betting patterns on this game, backing draw ***
Catania v PALERMO @ 3.9 (+20%)
ROMA @ 1.96 v Juventus (+15%)
Spanish Primera Liga
LEVANTE @ 2.52 v Malaga (+23%)
R Sociedad v HERCULES @ 5 (+20%)
Tags: betting, Bundesliga, football, La Liga, Premiership, Serie A,
Value
Posted in News | View Comments
Value Bets for 2 April 2011
Apr 2nd, 2011 by footballalchemy
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English Premiership
West Ham v MAN UTD @ 1.92 (+17%)
EVERTON @ 2.1 v A Villa (+13%)
NEWCASTLE @ 2.18 v Wolves (+20%)
LAY Chelsea @ 1.72 away v Stoke (+14%)
West Brom v LIVERPOOL @ 2.54 (+14%)
Wigan v SPURS @ 2.48 (+16%)
LAY Arsenal v Blackburn (+33%)
Scottish Premiership
MOTHERWELL @ 2.32 v Aberdeen (+11%)
German Bundesliga
LAY Dortmund @ 1.48 v Hannover (+17%)
Bayern Munich v B Munchengladbach, DRAW @ 9 (+26%)
WERDER BREMEN @ 2.3 v Stuttgart (+12%)
Kaiserslautern v LEVERKUSEN @ 2.12 (+20%)
Italian Serie A
LAY Brescia @ 1.66 v Bologna (+47%)
MILAN @ 3.1 v Inter (+21%)
Spanish Primera Liga
VILLAREAL @ 6.2 v Barcelona (+42%)
Tags: Arsenal, Aston Villa, betting, Everton, football, Man Utd, picks,
Premiership, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
How to beat an efficient market
Mar 23rd, 2011 by footballalchemy
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The price is right. Every bet has an expectancy of zero. No commission,
no overround, no profit, no loss. Why play?
Over time your profit and loss graph will undulate across your starting
line, sometimes above, sometimes below.
...sometimes above...
Set your goal. Keep going until you get the profit you desire, time is
all it takes until the sequence plays out, like flipping 10 heads in a
row.
Then quit.
(Oh, and use level stakes!)
Tags: betting, efficient, football, market, price, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
Value bets for Sunday 20 March
Mar 20th, 2011 by footballalchemy
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All prices at Betfair, 2% bank advised for each stake. May fortune
favour you!
German Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen v SCHALKE @ 4.9 (+22%)
Italian Serie A
SAMPDORIA @ 2.5 v Parma (+37%)
BOLOGNA @ 2.98 v Genoa (+37%)
Spanish Primera Liga
DEPORTIVO @ 2.46 v Levante (+38%)
Malaga v ESPANYOL @ 4.2 (+38%)
R SANTANDER @ 2.2 v R Sociedad (+23%)
S Gijon v ALMERIA @ 4.7 (+31%)
A Bilbao v VILLAREAL @ 3.7 (+25%)
Tags: betting, football, picks, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
Value Bets for Saturday 19 March
Mar 19th, 2011 by footballalchemy
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Recommended stakes of 1.5% bank, except Getafe -> 0.5% bank
English Premier League
ASTON VILLA @ 1.97 v Wolves (+26%)
Italian Serie A
LAZIO @ 1.74 v Cesena (+30%)
PALERMO @ 4.6 v Milan (+33%)
German Bundesliga
Nurnberg v W Bremen, DRAW @ 4 (+20%)
Nurnberg v W BREMEN @ 3.55 (+21%)
E FRANKFURT @ 2.08 v St Pauli (+27%)
Spanish Primera Liga
Barca v Getafe, DRAW @ 12.5 (+37.5%)
Barca v GETAFE @ 38 (+52%)
ATLETICO MADRID @ 6.2 v Real Madrid (+36%)
Dutch Eredivisie
VVV v WILLEM II @ 5.3 (+22%)
Good luck!
Tags: Aston Villa, betting, football, Premiership, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
Arsenal: can Wenger reserve right not to win?
Mar 13th, 2011 by footballalchemy
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Last night's 2-0 FA Cup Quarter-Final defeat to Manchester United saw
Arsenal go from being in the running for 4 competitions to 1 in the
space of just 2 weeks. With no trophies since the fortuitous 2005 FA
Cup victory, the usual questions over Wenger and his football
philosophy are being raised.
* Does his team have the drive and mental toughness required to win?
* Are Arsenal physically strong enough?
* Why do they insist on frustrating by trying to "walk the ball into
the back of the net"?
Each of these has questions has justification. The team has lacked real
on field leadership since Vieira left for Juventus. His midfield
replacements have shown the ability to play but not inspire, especially
when the tide goes against them.
Wenger has complained on numerous occasions about other teams' intent
to bully his more technically focused players off the park - this is
equivalent to the rest of the Premiership protesting when Walcott
outpaces their defence. And maybe Wenger would do well to remember the
glory days of Henry and Bergkamp, 2 legendary strikers that were happy
to shoot from outside the 6-yard box.
Still, is the criticism of Arsenal's performance justified? How are
they really doing?
Arsenal are 2nd in the Premiership, 3 points behind Manchester
United... with a game in hand. I imagine there are 18 other Premiership
teams that would swap places with them.
They have just exited the Champions League, losing by a 1 goal margin
over 2 legs to a team that many, including such luminaries as Marco van
Basten, are hailing as the greatest club side of all time.
They got to the Carling Cup Final, more than can be said for Manchester
United, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Spurs or nearly all the other
entrants to the competition for that matter. They lost a game they were
expected to win; it was a bad result for sure , but this is football -
is any team ever guaranteed a victory?
Now they have been defeated by a Manchester United team that started
with 7 defenders. Arsenal showed good possession, but lacked a cutting
edge - the times they did get through United's defence, they were
unable to foind a way past a soon-to-retire Edwin van der Sar who again
demonstrated why he is currently rated the best performing goalkeeper
in Europe.
Wenger and Wilshere-
Wenger and Jack WIlshere
They were expected to show more and there are certainly areas for
improvement. For all their slick passing, Arsenal would benefit from a
striker in the Javier Hernandez `score first, think later' mould. They
need more bite in midfield, although Jack Wilshere again showed enough
promise to keep Arsenal and England fans hopeful of a real talent for
the future. Fabregas, the catalyst Arsenal have relied upon so much in
recent years, seems to have split his focus between his current
employers and a possible summer move to the club he loves.
The fact is, no club can win competitions all the time. Wenger has been
6 years without a trophy. In the years 1996-2004, Arsene and Arsenal
won 3 Premier League titles and 4 FA Cups. Since then, we've had the
Abramovich Chelsea era and the increased competition that brought, plus
the emergence of greater foreign financial interest in other clubs.
It's become tougher to win the top trophies but Arsenal are still
competing.
Should a straight line be drawn between lack of trophies and the need
for drastic change? Or does the ability to adapt to a changing
industry, renew and rebuild teams and continue to challenge justify
faith in the manager's ability? Arsene Wenger remains Arsenal FC's
greatest asset - his team aren't perfect, I'm sure he wishes they were.
However, there is plenty of mileage left in the French managerial
maestro yet and he still has 10 Premier League games left this season
to leave some critics feeling they may have spoken too soon.
Tags: Arsenal, ECL, football, Premiership, Thierry Henry, Wenger,
Wilshere
Posted in News | View Comments
European football value bets, Sat 12 March
Mar 12th, 2011 by footballalchemy
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Today's picks, each bet max 2% of total bank. Prices at Betfair
English FA Cup
MAN UNITED @ 2.3 (if reached, price currently 2.18) v Arsenal
Spanish Primera Liga
ALMERIA @ 3.5 v Atletico Madrid
Real Zaragoza v VALENCIA @ 2.54
German Bundesliga
Kaiserslautern v FREIBURG @ 4.1
Italian Serie A
Cesena v JUVENTUS @ 2.4 (if reached, price currently at 2.28)
Tags: betting, football, picks, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
European League value bets, Wed 2 March
Mar 2nd, 2011 by footballalchemy
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All prices found at Betfair (<-click for promo offer!)
Use stakes at max 2% of bank
Spanish Primera Liga
Osasuna v DEPORTIVO @ 4.5
REAL ZARAGOZA @ 3.05 v A Bilbao
VALENCIA @ 7.4 v Barcelona
Valencia v Barcelona, DRAW @ 4.7
Austrian Bundesliga
LASK LINZ @ 3.75 v Wiener Neustadt
SV RIED @ 1.9 v FC Wacker
Enjoy and please share post with others!
Tags: betting, football, picks, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
European League value bets, Sat 26 Feb
Feb 26th, 2011 by footballalchemy
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Today's value selections!
Keep bet sizes at or below 2% bank for each.
(All prices found at Betfair: free bet for new customers via this link:
bit.ly/BetfairPromo)
English Premier League
Wolves v Blackpool, DRAW @ 4.3
German Bundesliga
SCHALKE @ 2 v Nurnberg
St Pauli v HANNOVER @ 3.2
Kaiserslautern v HAMBURG @ 2.52
Italian Serie A
Juventus v BOLOGNA @ 10
Spanish Primera Liga
ESPANYOL @ 2.14 v Sociedad
MALLORCA @ 10.5 v Barcelona
Mallorca v Barcelona, DRAW @ 5.3
DEPORTIVO @ 9.2 v Real Madrid
Sporting Gijon v REAL ZARAGOZA @ 4.4
Tags: betting, football, picks, Premiership, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
Champions League value bets, Wed 23 Feb
Feb 23rd, 2011 by footballalchemy
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Just 2 games that show required level of value today, both in the
Champions League!
INTER @ 2.8 v Bayern Munich (estimated price of 2.1)
Marseille v MANCHESTER UNITED @ 2.64 (estimated price of 2.1 also)
Both prices found at Betfair
Happy betting everybody! Please share/tweet this post :)
Tags: betting, ECL, football, picks, Value
Posted in News | View Comments
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* Football Alchemy on TWITTER
+ Value bets for Sunday now up at
footballalchemy.co.uk/ !! #betting #premiership
#bundesliga #laliga #seriea #football 1 hour ago
+ Suspicious betting patterns see draw backed to 1.6 in #Chievo
- #Sampdoria game.. follows similar backing for #Brescia who
won 3-1 yesterday 1 hour ago
+ RT @OptaJoe: 11 - Javier Hernandez has scored 11 goals from
just 15 shots on target in the Premier League this season.
Update. 21 hours ago
+ Today's value bets online now at t.co/ftGi5eN !!
Remember to position size sensibly! All prices found
@BetfairFootball 24 hours ago
+ Great article on Arthur Wharton, football's first black
professional player amongst many other distinctions
bbc.in/e7yP2T 2011/03/30
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